EGYPT FOREIGN POLICY Ever since the Egyptian Revolution of 1952, Egypt has been playing
an important role in both the Middle East and international politics, featuring
rather active foreign relations. To understand and perceive the foreign
relations of contemporary Egypt at a macro level, focus should be placed on the
following four points:
I. Geography: the
Basis of Egypt’s Foreign Relations Covering an area of
about 1,020,000 square kilometers (2002:11), Egypt has a population of about
73,579,000 people (2006) (2007:pril 3). Possessing a land bridge between Asia and Africa, this transcontinental
country is bordered by the Mediterranean Sea to the north, Sudan to the south,
the Red Sea and Saudi Arabia to the east, and Libya to the west. It is bordered
by Israel and Palestine in west Asia. TheSuez Canal serves as an important
waterway that connects the Atlantic Ocean, the Mediterranean Sea with the
Indian Ocean by way of the Red Sea. The geographical location of Egypt means a
lot to Egypt. “The geographic position of Egypt predetermined the role of Egypt
in history. A strong Egypt was capable of shouldering responsibilities in
proportion to its geographical location while a declining Egypt would become
nothing but part of a foreign empire controlling this position. When Egypt
proved to be unable to make use of this position, others would always take it
over. All in all, this physical position has never been discarded; neither
would history have it discarded,” said Mohammed Hasaanein Heikal, a well-known Egyptian
(Heikal, & Guan, 1992). The unique geographic position determines
fundamental directions of Egypt’s foreign relations: The first refers to the
Arab world. Geographically, Egypt is a bridge that connects the eastern and
western parts of the Arab world, making Egypt the center of the Arab world. The
unchangeable geographic and historical factors of Egypt, reiterated Nasser, predetermined
that Egypt is not only part of the Arab world but also the center of the Arab
world, the hero and leader who must undertake the mission of Arab unity (Chen,
2005:9). Therefore, what Nasser pursued throughout his political life was Arab
nationalism. Prior to the Yom Kippur War in 1973, President Sadat fought for
the lost land of the Arab world under the banner of Arab nationalism. However, ignoring
the opposition of the Arab world, President Sadat made a separate peace with
Israel, which isolated Egypt from the Arab family. “In history, Egypt has been
playing two roles in the Arab world, i.e., unification and innovation. Now that
Egypt, isolated from the Arab
family, has lost its ideals for the future and its activities also
come to a standstill in its limited political and geographic spheres in this
area. A situation similar to that in the Balkan area took shape here (Heikal,
& Guan, 1992:371). After taking office, President Mubarak fully realized the
important position of Egypt in the Arab world. He made great efforts so as to
enhance the relations between Egypt and other Arab states, finally bringing
Egypt back to the Arab family. Among the relations between Egypt and other Arab
states, Egypt cares most about the following three states. The first country is
Sudan. For one thing, Sudan has close ties with Egypt in history; the former has
always been regarded by the latter as its strategic backyard. For another,
Sudan, an upstream country on the Nile, bears on the water security of Egypt.
The second country is Palestine. Palestine bears on
Egypt’s security in the east wing. In addition, as Palestine is a
key entity at the core of the Arab-Israeli conflict, it is an important stage for
Egypt to bring into play its influence in this area. The third country is Saudi
Arabia. Due to the unique religious position and abundant oil dollars of Saudi
Arabia, Egypt, on the one hand, longs for its support when it comes to Middle
East affairs and more economic aid from Saudi Arabia, but, on the other hand, tries
its best to avoid possible competition from Saudi Arabia in terms of regional
influence. The second refers to Israel. As a powerful neighbor in the east, Israel
is an important factor concerning the national security of Egypt. All previous
Egyptian governments deemed that Israel is a major country to be alert against,
always paying close attention to the situation in Israel. Even after peace was
made between the two countries, Egypt still keeps an eye on Israel, unwilling
to develop further relations with the latter. What’s more, the fact that Israel
is the only Middle Eastern country in possession of nuclear weapons makes
Egypt upset. Former Egyptian foreign minister Amr Moussa (He is now
the Arab League Secretary General) once said, “As long as Israel possesses any
weapons of mass destruction that pose a threat to its neighbors, it’s unthinkable
for Israel to integrate into this area” (Dowek, 2001:267). Of course, Israel
has no complete trust in Egypt, either, which remains an important factor for
the appearance and continuation of Egypt’s “cold peace” with Israel. The third
refers to great powers in the international community. It has been a difficult
problem for Egypt to tackle with its relations with
great powers (especially the US and the Soviet Union) in the international
community. “In terms of its relations with other countries,” argued critics,
“Egypt’s relationship with the Arab world affects its foreign relations within
the region as a whole while its relations with the UK, the US and the Soviet
Union are of great significance outside this region. The interference of these
three powers is one root reason for the long-term disturbance in the Middle
East. Egypt’s relations with these three powers stand out among all its foreign
relations. To be more specific, Egypt’s relationship with the US and the Soviet
Union, the two superpowers, seem particularly important for it affects the
overall situation of Egypt’s foreign relations” (Chen, 2005:34). As a result,
Egypt has to be rather cautious
so as to survive the fighting between world powers. For instance, during
Nasser’s reign, although Egypt was in close ties with the Soviet Union, it also
kept a relationship with the US for a long time. Later on, during Mubarak’s
reign, although Egypt was on good terms with the US, it also developed a
relationship with the Soviet Union (Russia) so as to seek some kind of balance.
The fourth refers to Europe and Africa. Geographically, Egypt is close to
Europe. Actually, both sides had close ties in history. In modern times, Egypt
was deeply influenced by Europe and later, under the invasion and control of
European powers, finally became a semi-colony and protectorate of the UK. After
the Suez War of 1956, the influence of the UK and France on Egypt was actually
not worth mentioning. After the 1973 Yom Kippur War, Egypt’s relation with Europe,
especially with the European Community, underwent substantial changes. Egypt
and the European Community began bilateral cooperation and political talks. The
first decade of the 21st century saw rapid development of bilateral
relations between Egypt and Europe. In May 2004 Egypt and Europe signed a
partnership agreement, followed by frequent visits of state leaders. By the end
of 2006, President Mubarak had paid 46 visits to France, 24 visits to Germany
and 18 visits to Italy (Wang, 2006:86). At the same time, state leaders of
European Union countries also paid numerous visits to Egypt. In recent years,
the European Union has become the largest trade partner of Egypt. For example,
in 2005, Egypt’s imports from France and Germany reached €1.418 billion and
€1.35 billion respectively. Its imports from Italy, the second biggest trade
partner after the US, reached €2.6 billion (Wang, 2006:86). Besides, the European
Union was one of Egypt’s main donors. Between 2004 and 2005, assistance from
the EU to Egypt amounted to $ 522million (2005:133). Egypt has traditional
relations with Africa. One ring in Nasser’s Three Ring Theory is Africa. When
Nasser was still in office, Egypt supported the national liberation movements
in Africa and Egypt had rather close ties with Africa. As most African
countries opposed Sadat’s decision of making separate peace with Israel, the
relationship between Egypt and Africa cooled down. During Mubarak’s reign, the bilateral
relationship improved and moved forward steadily. Mubarak called for making all
Africa a nuclear-free zone and he also made great mediation efforts to resolve
armed conflicts in Africa. He was re-elected Chairman of the Organization of
African Unity in 1993. In May 1998, Egypt joined the common Market for Eastern
and Southern Africa. Moreover, Egypt also signed bilateral economic and technological
cooperation agreements with numerous African countries.
II. Interests: the
Fundamental Starting Point of Egypt’s Foreign Relations
National interests are, said critics, “pivotal factors that
determine and affect the behaviors of a state in international relations and inter-state
relations reflect the interest interaction between different
political and economic entities.” (Zhang, 1989: 54). National
interests are a comprehensive concept, mainly including security, economic and
political interests (Zhang, 1989:55-56). The foreign relations of Egypt are no
exception; their starting point and purpose is to safeguard the national
interests of Egypt. However, different tasks encountered by Egypt at different
times meant its national interests had different priorities, which correspondingly
affected the foreign relations of Egypt. When Nasser
first took office, the primary task for Egypt was to realize and consolidate
the national independence of Egypt and the most urgent problem was how Egypt
could obtain enough weapons and economic
aid to defend the newly-born regime. As Egypt’s efforts of calling
for help from Western countries failed, Egypt had to turn to the Soviet Union.
The relationship between Egypt and the Soviet Union
developed rapidly for the generous Soviet aid made Egypt almost completely
dependent on the Soviet Union. After the Yom Kippur War in 1973, the primary
task of Egypt was to recover the Sinai
Peninsula occupied by Israel and save its collapsing economy. The US
became what Egypt could rely on because of its unique influence on Israel and
enormous amount of foreign aid. The following years saw rapid recovery and
development between Egypt and the US. The Egyptian-Israeli relationship also
briefly improved. The Soviet Union was ignored because it could not help Egypt
as the US did. Then the relationship between Egypt and the Soviet Union went
from bad to worse and finally the two countries fell apart. Former American Secretary
of State Kissinger said, “Russians can only offer you (Egypt) weapons but we
can offer you peace” (Heikal, & Xing, 1979:4). During Mubarak’s reign, the
primary task faced with Egypt was to develop the economy and increase its
regional influence. The first difficulty Mubarak faced was how to return to the
Arab family. For this purpose, Egypt decided to freeze its relationship with
Israel so as to win approbation from Arab countries step by step. Egypt
gradually improved its relations with Arab countries and finally recovered diplomatic
relationship with these countries. In May 1989, Egypt returned to the Arab
League. Since the 1990s, Egypt has been improving its relations with Arab
countries seriously and engaged itself in resolving big issues of the Arab
world. Since then Egypt has been playing an important role in the Arab world.
Meanwhile, considering the leading position of the US in the Middle East and
its enormous aid to Egypt, Egypt continued to attach importance to its relationship
with the US. The Egyptian-US relationship moved forward for further
development. Although Egypt placed its relations with great powers in the center
of its foreign strategy, Egypt tried to protect its national interest instead
of simply catering for great powers. In its relation with the Soviet Union,
Nasser insisted not approving the military base eagerly needed by the Soviet
Union in spite that the Soviet Union offered Egypt a large amount of military
and economic aid. When the “neither war nor peace” strategy of the Soviet Union
hindered Egypt’s preparation for its war against Israel, President Sadat made
up his mind to drive out the military experts of the Soviet Union of Egypt. During
Mubarak’s reign, the US, as an ally of Egypt, continued to provide Egypt with a
lot of military and economic aid, which, however, did not prevent Egypt from
criticizing the US. Egypt made strong criticism of the US with regard to many
issues. For instance, Egypt and the US had constant disputes over issues like
the US-led global counterterrorism war and democratization and the peace process
in the Middle East. Statistics of the US Congress show that 80% of Egypt’s
votes on the general assembly of the UN were against the US (Wu, Chen, &
Wang, 2004:128). Besides its national interests, Egypt, as an Arab country,
also bears the mission of safeguarding the interests of the Arab nation. The Palestine-Israeli
conflict is mainly concerned with the interests of the Arab nation. Egypt was a
main force of the Arab camp in the Palestine-Israeli conflict. It has been
working hard for the resolution of
the Palestine issue. During the peace talks between Palestine and Israel,
Egypt always worked as a supporter of Palestine, pressuring Israel all along.
When the Arab nation was faced with challenges,
Egypt was rather active in mediating all parties, fighting for unity
of the whole Arab nation. To some extent, Egypt’s attitude was a symbol of the
attitude of the Arab world. Nevertheless, the national interests of Egypt were
often in discord with that of the Arab nation. On such occasions Egypt would
sacrifice the interests of the Arab nation so as to protect its own interests.
For example, to recover the Sinai Peninsula, Egypt sought for separate peace
with Israel in breach of its policy of “no recognition, no peace, no
negotiation” against Israel. This badly damaged the interests of the Arab
nation, which was also the root cause that Egypt was isolated by Arab countries
after Egypt
had made peace with Israel. In addition, the heavy debts and responsibilities
that Egypt bears caused much negative influence on itself. For instance,
Egypt’s involvement with the Palestine-Israeli conflict caused severe human
resource, economic and military losses to itself. Egypt’s economic losses in
the four Arab-Israeli wars reached $100 billion (Wang, 2006:32). Nasser’s keen
support to Arab revolutions, especially its involvement in the Yemeni Civil
War, brought more losses than gains. During Mubarak’s administration, however,
Egypt paid great attention to the balance between its national interests and
the interests of the Arab nation. For example, before most Arab countries
recognized Israel, Egypt insisted that Egypt should maintain peace with Israel
but the Egyptian-Israeli relationship must be kept at a reasonably low level. Of
course, all the Arab countries, including Egypt, are faced with the balance
between their national interests and the interests of the Arab world. The
discord between the two kinds of interests also affects the relations between
Arab countries. The relationship between Egypt and Saudi Arabia was a typical
example, in which case both fought for the legal rights of the Arab nations.
When Egypt was fighting against Israel in the front, Saudi Arabia offered Egypt
tremendous financial support. In particular, the unity and cooperation between
the two countries during the Yom Kippur War was exemplary. To push forward the
peace process of the Middle East, Egypt made great mediating efforts between
the Arab world and Israel while Saudi Arabia put forward a peace plan in 1981
and then another in 2002. During the Gulf Crisis and the Gulf War, both were dedicated
to the liberation of Kuwait. However, from time to time there were also
disputes between Egypt and Saudi Arabia because of their disparities in
national interests and ideology. The worst case occurred during the Yemeni
Civil War in the 1960s. The two countries once broke off their diplomatic
relations because of their different
opinions on making peace with Israel. Moreover, the two countries were
in discord because they both wanted to be the leader of the Arab and the
Islamic world. For instance, when making security
arrangement in the Gulf area after the Gulf War, Saudi Arabia
rejected the proposal of rebuilding its security forces out of Egyptian troops,
instead, Saudi Arabia relied on Western countries for its safety. The imbalance
between the interests of Arab countries and the interests of the Arab nation
influenced the unity and cooperation in the Arab world badly. “All Arab
nationalists require, consciously or subconsciously, the interests of Arab
nationalism to be subordinated to their national interests, class interests and
personal interests, which is the very reason why Arab nationalism cannot lead
the Arab nation to unification,” said some critics (Yang & Zhu, 1996:82).
III. The Cold War: the
International Background of Egypt’s Foreign Relations
The Cold War was an important factor affecting the international relations
from the end of World War II to early 1990s. After World War II, Egypt became a
focus of the competition between the two
superpowers, the US and the Soviet Union. As early as the 1950s, the
US attempted to include Egypt in its Middle East defense plan so as to contain
the Soviet Union but was rejected by Egypt. During the Suez Crisis, the US put
great pressure on Egypt instead of supporting this strategic ally. The main
reason was that the US feared that the Soviet Union might take advantage of
this opportunity to get in the Middle East. Former American president Dwight
Eisenhower said, ”We should put forward the best thinking for problems likely
to be solved; in particular, the rescue mission of helping Egypt, Saudi Arabia
and Syria out of their failure under the control of the Soviet Union... Since Britain
and France have lost their influence in the Middle East, to save these
countries and make them turn to the West, we must dare to be the leader”
(Warner, 1991:316). However, the US failed to render Egypt much real help.
Meanwhile, the Soviet Union opened the Egyptian gate through economic and
military aid, making Egypt a tower of strength of the Soviet Union in the
Middle East. In contrast, Egypt and the US fell apart and finally broke off
their diplomatic relationship in 1967. Although the relationship between Egypt
and the Soviet Union developed rapidly after the Six-Day War, the role of the US
played in tackling the Palestine-Israeli conflict reduced Egypt’s
confidence in the Soviet Union. Therefore, it was no surprise that Nasser
improved the Egyptian-US relations in his late years. After taking office,
Sadat tried his best to enhance the Egyptian-US relationship. The US made it
one prerequisite that Egypt should stay away from the Soviet Union. Despite the
fact that Egypt managed to launch the Yom Kippur War and won some victory at
the
beginning of the war by relying on the weapons provided by the Soviet
Union, Sadat had no confidence in the Soviet Union any longer. Consequently,
the relationship between Egypt and the Soviet Union continued to deteriorate
and finally broke up. Egypt started to put its total reliance on the US. The
fight between the US and the Soviet Union in Egypt ended with a US victory and
Egypt became a strategic ally of the US in the Middle East. During the 1980s,
the Soviet Union
was in a disadvantageous position in its confrontation with the US. Although
Egypt recovered its diplomatic relationship with the Soviet Union in 1984, the
bilateral tie could not be compared with what it used to be. The Egyptian-US
relationship moved forward steadily. After the disintegration of the Soviet
Union, the weakened Russia had not much strength to compete with the US. As a
result, the Egyptian-US relationship continued to develop while the
Egyptian-Russian relationship lost its dominance in Egypt’s foreign strategy. As
of the 1990s, under the influence of the Cold War, the foreign relations of
Egypt had been in the shadow of US-Soviet confrontation. The US and the Soviet
Union were rather active during the Suez War of 1956. During the Yemeni Civil
War, the republicans and the royalists were at daggers drawn; the two sides
were supported by Egypt and Saudi Arabia respectively. It happened that Egypt
and Saudi Arabia were supported by the Soviet Union and the US respectively.
The Six-Day War of 1967 and the Yom Kippur War appeared to be the confrontation
between the Arab world and Israel, which actually was the confrontation between
the US and the Soviet Union. The Soviet Union backed Egypt while the US backed
Israel. The Yom Kippur War was actually a grand contest of Soviet weapons versus
American weapons. The failure of Arab countries led by Egypt during the two
wars indicated that the US had the upper hand in its
contest against the Soviet Union in the Middle East. During the Yom Kippur
and afterward, the US made a lot of efforts to mediate between Egypt and
Israel, with another purpose of keeping the Soviet Union away. To prevent
Egypt’s Third Army from being wiped out, the US put great pressure on Israel,
saying, “if Israel did not raise its siege of this army, the Soviet Union would
have an excuse to dispatch troops to the Middle East. All in all, Israel must
immediately open the logistics channels of Egypt’s Third Army” (Zhang, &
Zhao, 1987:234). After the Yom Kippur War, Egypt told the US that Egypt would
like to help clean up the Suez Canal, which incurred the disapproval of the
Soviet Union. On May 24, 1974, an Arabic radio station in Moscow said,
“some Americans are attempting to pressure Egypt with the demilitarization of
the Suez Canal as an excuse so as to limit the navigation freedom of Soviet
ships” (Hussini, 1987:205). Likely, the peace process between Egypt and Israel
could not avoid the contest between the US and the Soviet Union. Once a US
State Department spokesman of the Reagan administration, pointed out that the
Camp David peace process and the fight against the Soviet threat in the Middle
East was complementary to each other (Chen, 2005: 98). Obviously, although
Egypt had been consistent in its neutral and non-aligned policy, Egypt had to
rely on one side against the background of the Cold War. “In the global
political zero-sum game played by the two superpowers in the 1950s, Washington
believed that Egypt’s non-aligned policy diminished the strength of the West in
a key strategic region (the Middle East), calling Egypt a traitor. In contrast,
Egypt considered the Baghdad Pact, which included Britain and Iraq, to Egypt’s
adversary, be an alliance against Egypt. Due to its objection to the West Camp
which supported the establishment of the military advantage of Israel, Egypt
turned to the East Camp for
weapons” (Lefebvre, 1993:325), said Jeffrey A. Lefebvre. The
evolution of the Egyptian-US relationship had an impact on the evolution of the
Egyptian-Soviet Union relationship and vice versa. “At that time (during Nasser’s
reign), to make any change in Egyptian policies was considered to be
undermining the position of the US because the starting point of the American
position was to ensure the relations between Egypt and the West stay as they
used to be. Therefore, the policy changes of Egypt always led to mutual
estrangement between Egypt and the US. Meanwhile, this would always push Egypt
toward the Soviet Union a little bit more, which then led to more contacts
between Egypt and the Soviet Union. It was said that Egypt had become
a doorway through which the Soviet Union could easily get into the Middle
East,” said Sadat (Sadat, & Zhong, 1976:76).
IV. Leaders: Personal
Traits in Egypt’s Foreign Relations
According to the 1956, 1958, 1964 Constitutions and the 1971 permanent
Constitution as well as its amendments, Egypt is a presidential republic where
the president has been dominating the political life of the country. When
making foreign policies, the president almost has absolute decision-making
power. Some researchers believe that decision-making of foreign policies is a proprietary
territory of the Egyptian president and his courtiers (Wang, 2006:32). The
power like that of a king and the unique position in foreign policy making of
the Egyptian president marked Egypt’s foreign relations with the
individualities of the president himself. During Nasser’s reign, Egypt gave
extensive support to the national liberation movements in Asia and Africa
because Nasser himself hated colonialism and imperialism. He took part in the Palestine
War of 1948. The humiliation of the defeat of Arab countries made up his mind
to fight against Zionism and devote himself to the Palestine-Israeli conflict.
Out of his sense of responsibility for the Arab nation, He was keen about the
Arab unification. He precipitated the union of Egypt and Syria in 1958, also
known as the United Arab
Republic. He also worked hard to expand Egypt’s influence in the Arab
world and supported Arab revolutions. Taking Egypt as an example, many other
Arab countries organized free officers
movements and launched revolutions. Egypt was hailed as the source of
Arab revolutions.
When Sadat took office, he had no confidence in developing a relationship
with the Soviet Union because he disgusted and distrusted it. The relationship
between Egypt and the Soviet Union
worsened steadily. Ismail Fahmy, once Foreign Minister of Egypt,
said that Sadat”, never understood, liked or trusted Russians and Russians treated
him the same way” (Fahmy, 1983:11). In contrast, Sadat liked the American
leaders; he had full confidence in President Carter,
regarding him as a friend the Egyptian people and could be relied
on. Therefore, he welcomed Carter’s mediation in the Egyptian-Israeli peace
talks with open arms, which led to big breakthroughs in and rapid development
of the Egyptian-US relationship. Sadat liked to act in an arbitrary fashion and
discriminated against those with different views. He often made big decisions
by himself. It was said “when faced with important problems, he would return to
his place and stay there for a couple of days. He did not like to read memos or
reports. He liked to surprise his assistants. His advisors called him a Pharaoh
in private” (Karawan, 1994: 257). Former American President Nixon once
described him as a person who liked to think, and to be alone. He seldom
exchanged views with
his ministers. Many important decisions were made when he was walking
alone along the Nile after lunch (Nixon, 1983: 340). Sadat often made
unexpected decisions which he called “lightening shock
strategy” (Karawan, 1994:256). This made many foreign policies that he
decided during his tenure often surprising. For instance, in 1971 he made the
decision to join the Libyan-Syrian Federation. Only two people knew about his
decision of driving out the Soviet experts, which was only made several hours
before the Soviet ambassador got the notice. The time of launching the Yom
Kippur War was decided after his discussion with Syrian President Hafez Assad
and only his senior officers were notified about this. The decision of his
visit to Jerusalem was also his personal decision. Only Hasan Tuhami, the Deputy
Prime Minister, knew about this decision before he declared this to the
People’s Assembly. The personality and the position in foreign policy
decision-making of Sadat played an enormous role in Egypt’s foreign relations
especially in the breakthroughs of the Egyptian-Israeli relationship. Ephraim
Dowek, former Israeli ambassador to Cairo, commented, “No doubt, he is a major
peace maker. Without his vision, determination, willingness of risking himself
and the nation and his evaluation of the short-term and long-term historical
process, it would be unthinkable for our generation to realize peace with
Egypt” (Dowek, 2001:282). Mubarak also held in hand the power of foreign policy
decision-making. After he became president of Egypt, the Egyptian National
Security Council seldom held meetings. Interestingly, the Council was
responsible for making relevant national security strategy and handling important
problems concerning national security.
Mubarak preferred to consult the courtiers and associates around
him. After serving the army for a long time, Mubarak developed a character of
determination and following orders. After the assassination of Sadat, the
Egyptian-Israeli peace process was fragile. Mubarak did not hesitate to let the
peace process continue. However, he did not think well of most Israeli leaders.
For example, he disliked Israeli Prime Minister Shamir, whom he took to be
“uncompromising and dogmatic”, “an enemy of peace and an obstacle of Egypt’s
goals in this region” (Dowek, 2001: 290). Therefore, he insisted on not meeting
with Shamir at any place and waited for the change of the Israeli administration.
Later on, he strongly condemned Israeli Prime Ministers Netanyahu and Sharon.
He distrusted them so he met with them as seldom as possible. For instance,
Mubarak did not invite Sharon to visit Egypt until a long time after the latter
took office in 2001. Even during the Rabin administration and the Barak administration
when the Egyptian-Israeli relationship improved, Egypt did not hold back its
criticism on Israeli leaders. Mubarak always refused to visit Israel (the only
exception was his participation in the funeral of Prime Minister Rabin). To sum
up, the
Egyptian-Israeli relationship stayed I n a cold peace situation for
quite a long time. It is thus clear that the presidential system and the unique
decision-making mechanism of Egypt stamped Egypt’s foreign relations with a
brand of Egyptian leaders. The personality traits of the leaders influenced the
development of Egypt’s foreign relations to some extent. However, it must be
pointed out that despite the influence of the sentiment of Egyptian leaders
what determines the essence of Egypt’s foreign relations is still the national
interests of Egypt. To sum up, geography, interests, the Cold War and Egyptian leaders
are four fundamental starting points toward understanding Egypt’s foreign
relations. Geography is the basis of Egypt’s foreign relations; it sets the
fundamental directions on Egypt’s foreign relations: the Arab world, Israel,
great powers, Europe and Africa. Although safeguarding its national interests
is a fundamental starting point in Egypt’s foreign relations, its national
interests have shown different points of emphasis at different stages.
Additionally, Egypt still bears the mission of protecting the interests of the
Arab nation. The Cold War had great influences on many aspects of Egypt’s
foreign relations; the United States and the Soviet Union were top priority in its
foreign relations before the 1990s. Under the unique political mechanism of
Egypt, the Egyptian leaders have supreme power in foreign policy
decision-making thus Egypt’s foreign relations were stamped with a brand of
Egyptian leaders.
In retrospect of the evolution of Egypt’s foreign relations over the
past half century, Egypt’s foreign relations had different points of emphasis
at different times and Egypt’s relations with other countries were also different
from one another. Generally speaking, Israel had the greatest influence on the
national security of Egypt. Egypt paid close attention to its relationship with
Israel. However, the bilateral relationship did not develop steadily because of
Arab factors. Therefore, it stayed at a relatively low level. The Arab world is
a platform on which Egypt can bring into play its role in the region. Egypt and
other Arab countries had close political and cultural ties but their economic
relationship stayed at a low level. For this reason, although the economic and
trade relationship between Egypt and Saudi Arabia developed rapidly, it stayed
at a low level as a whole. From the 1950s to early 1970s, Egypt maintained a
rather high level of relationship with the Soviet Union. Then the bilateral
relationship deteriorated quickly and finally broke up. After the recovery of diplomatic
tie between Egypt and the Soviet Union in 1984, the bilateral relationship did
not make much progress. The Egyptian-Russian relationship also stayed at a
relatively low level. From the 1950s to early 1970s, Egypt kept a cold
relationship with the US. During this period of time, the relationship between
Egypt and Europe also stayed at a relatively low level. However, the
relationship between Egypt and member states of the European Communities(the European
Union)developed
very fast. Although Africa had been a traditional diplomatic field of Egypt,
the relationship between Egypt and Africa stayed at a low level because of the
overall situation of Africa. Recently, the Egyptian political situation is in
ups and downs. There have been anti-government protests at the end of January
2011. The president Hosni Mubarak was forced to resign on February 11 and the
Supreme Council of the armed forces took over state power in Egypt. The
constitutional amendment released on February 27th requires
that the President's term of office is four years and only one consecutive
term. Nabil el-Araby has been the new foreign minister during the new
government led by Essam Sharaf who has taken into office on the March 8. These
changes will inevitably lead to the adjustment of domestic and foreign policies
in Egypt. However, it is believed that geography, interests and leaders are the
basic focus of external relations of Egypt, so Egyptian foreign relations
pattern is unlikely to have dramatic changes. First, the Egyptian-US relations will
continue to develop. The United States has provided substantial long-term
economic and military aid. During the political changes in Egypt, the Egyptian
military had close cooperation with the US and had also got their supports, in
the future they also need the support of the United States. Meanwhile, the
Middle East strategy of the United States also needs help from Egypt.
Therefore, the development of Egyptian-US relations is mutual request. Second,
peaceful relations with Israel will not change. This kind of peace is critical
not only for Egypt, but also for Israel as well as the United States. The three
countries have been in line with the fundamental interests. The Supreme Council
of the Egyptian armed forces has promised to abide by all signed international
and regional treaties which means Egypt will continue to maintain peaceful
relations with Israel. Israel has also given a positive response. Third, the
new constitutional amendment just modified the conditions of the president's
campaign and terms of office and did not have too many restrictions on its
power. In the future, the President of Egypt is still in a strong and dominant
position in foreign policy. Of course, there would be some adjustments in specific
external relations.
SOUTH
AFRICAS FOREIGN POLICY
As part of post-war developments and the new political dispensation
after a regime change in 1994, South Africa regained its international stature
on the continent and further afield. Based on its phenomenal political
recovery, and resourcefulness and capacity (though both limited), the
post-apartheid South African government has pledged and is therefore expected
to help develop the African continent. This commitment is well mirrored in its
foreign policy, which strives for regional and African recovery and seeks to
champion the cause of the South at large. Since 1994, South Africa has played a
critical role in Africa. On multilateral grounds, the country has been
preponderant in the development of SADC, the AU and other African multilateral
institutions. For this research, three areas of development were considered:
human rights, peace and security, and trade relations. Its human rights role,
although mired in controversy – accusations of befriending and defending human
rights abusers – has been fairly significant, at least on paper. With regard to
peace and security, South Africa continues its peacekeeping efforts in several
African countries by devoting its resources
to peace missions under SADC, the AU and the UN. Notwithstanding the
perceived aggressiveness in its asymmetrical trade relations with the rest of
the region, South Africa has contributed largely to continental economic
development through its foreign direct investment. It is against the background
of its continental foreign policy and actual role that this research attempts
to investigate whether South Africa is a partner or hegemon on the continent.
This facet of South Africa’s post-1994 foreign
policy towards and its role in Africa has been widely debated by
political 200 observers. Some political commentators contend that South Africa
is a continental partner while others conclude it is just a selfish hegemon and
a “bully”. Moreover, due to its post-1994 role on the continent, others suggest
South Africa shares characteristics of both a partner and a selfish hegemon.
This assertion particularly subscribes to the view that while South
Africa may claim to be a partner, it is in reality seen to be an aggressive
hegemon in its trade relations with the region; a viewpoint reinforced by the
fact that South Africa, lying somewhere between the developed and developing
worlds, should primarily be regarded as an emerging, middle-income country. The
purpose of this study has been to provide an overview of South Africa’s foreign
policy towards and its role on the African continent. This was done in order to
determine whether South Africa should be regarded as a
partner or hegemon. This research goal was based on the post-1994
South African government’s perceived need to embark on the promotion of respect
for human rights, peace and security assurances, and economic development on
the African continent. Consequently, South Africa’s foreign policy and the
conception of its role on the continent has been a cause for disagreement.
To facilitate this study, the following research question was
formulated: “What
is the foreign policy of South Africa towards and its role on the African
continent: partner or hegemon?”
The discussion on the “partner/hegemon” question is based on the
literature on South Africa’s foreign policy and its role on the continent. This
debate suggests that the country’s foreign policy is marked by contradictory
concepts, arguments, and normative principles. Having observed the eclectic
quality of South Africa’s foreign policy towards Africa, Davies (1992) suggests
there is one of two courses that the country could follow. It could pursue
regional integration driven by hegemonic ambitions and egocentrism while
favouring some of its lesser neighbours, or it might pursue the so-called
“nonhegemonic regional co-operation and integration” mandate. Schoeman (2007)
holds an almost similar sentiment. South Africa is not an exclusive partner nor
is it a complete hegemon. South Africa finds itself somewhere in-between. This
is because the country has shown hegemonic aspirations through its multilateral
socio-political leadership and economic aggressiveness while simultaneously
maintaining that it is willing to act as a partner without any hegemonic
ambitions. Other than that, Habib and Selinyane (2004) suggest that South
Africa should assume a hegemonic role. The region needs a leader capable of
addressing socio-political and security issues with economic rewards that
promise a tenable stability. This will eventually restore Africa’s stature in
the international sphere. As a result of these contradicting concepts, the
problem statement of the study is founded on the controversy surrounding South
Africa’s foreign policy identity and its eventual role on the African
continent. In order to assess South Africa’s foreign policy and role,
the study was conceptually demarcated by determining whether South Africa can
best be associated with a concept of partnership or hegemony. Moreover, the
study was geopolitically confined to South Africa and the African continent.
South Africa’s representation as a major African power and of the developing
South
on the UNSC was also considered. As far as temporal demarcation is
concerned, the study was limited to South Africa’s foreign policy towards
Africa from 1994 to 2010, although some pre-1994 foreign policy events were
broadly considered as background information with regard to the South Africa-
Africa policy.
The study descriptively analysed the relationship between South Africa
and other African countries via an “inside-out” approach; discussing South
Africa’s foreign policy processes both by involvement of state and non-state
actors at national level, and eventually evaluating their roles on the
continent
and further afield. Generally, the study examined and portrayed the
foreign policy relations of South Africa with other African states. It is a
descriptive analysis based on a literature study aimed at working towards
explanations on why South Africa, among many other policy issues and choices,
decided to prioritise human rights, peace and security, and trade relations.
All the data in the study was acquired from primary (state documents),
literature sources, and secondary analytical and scholarly sources. The
significance of the study is that the findings can be used to inform foreign
policy actors and observers about South Africa’s foreign policy in Africa. The
answers to the research question can help to clarify and better understand the
country’s policies and international expectations on the South Africa-Africa
relations. Regarding the conceptual controversy surrounding
South Africa’s role on the continent, the study helps determine whether
the country epitomises a partner or hegemon. In view of the above, the main aim
of chapter two was to conceptualise
terms that are frequently used in IR, particularly those often used in
the study. The chapter commenced by conceptualising “foreign policy”, “national
interests” and “state and non-states actors”, “partner” and “hegemony”, and
“multilateralism”. In this regard, a state-centric, classical realist
interpretation defines foreign policy as aims pursued by a state as the only
actor in foreign policymaking, while liberal-pluralism interprets “foreign
policy” as being developed by both
state and non-state actors. The study found that foreign policy is
representative of national interests, not only of state actors’ interests, but
also of those of non-state actors. Such national interests may be economic,
political or social, or even more than that. Furthermore, foreign
policy-related
roles cannot be entirely attributed to the state but to NGOs as well.
The study also shown that foreign policymaking is a lengthy process that
involves at least five stages: agenda-setting/problem presentation, opinion
generation, policy design, implementation, and policy review. Moreover, the
foreign policy of a state is developed with the view to ensure
security domestically and abroad; achieve and enhance national prosperity; earn
status and prestige in the international arena; and ensure and maintain the
autonomy of the state in question.With regard to “national interests”,
liberalism would presecribe that “national interests” are no longer relevant to
the contemporary political environment, while others contend that the phrase
only involves the aspirations of the leading elite and not those of the public.
However, the research reveals that “national interests” is a “measuring stick”
since it only distinguishes national policies from foreign ones. The phrase
specifically shows that certain pursued goals actually arise from people’s
interests. The research has also shown that sovereign territorial states as
well as the intergovernmental organisations that they have developed are all
state actors, who together, constitute the community of nations. Such
intergovernmental institutions in the African context include the SADC, the AU,
NEPAD, and
others. Non-states actors are those actors that indirectly engage in
foreign policymaking. By way of embodiment, non-governmental organisations include
liberation movements, terrorist groups, TSMs, MNCs, and ordinary individuals. The
research showed that the concept of a “partner” refers to a
“friendly” political, economic, or military actor with two or more
international actors such as states, MNCs, and so on. A partner shares similar
aims and objectives with fellow partners and is characterised by tolerance and commitment
but there is no guarantee of equality among partners. The study further
revealed that a hegemon is an actor that is economically and militarily
powerful, and that plays a firm and influential leadership role within the
region, continent, or the world in general. A hegemon may be a leading actor or
organisation but it can sometimes be monopolistic. Chapter three of the study
was aimed at discussing South Africa’s foreign policymaking. In this regard,
the research demonstrated that South Africa’s foreign policy since 1994 has
been guided by a belief in the respect for human rights; promotion of global
democracy; upholding of international law in international relations; promotion
of international peace; development of African interests; and economic
development. With regard to foreign policy decision-making, the study indicated
that the president is one of the actors involved and he is the primary player
that takes foreign policy decisions in South Africa. Having mentioned that,
this does not signify that he/she is the sole actor involved in the process.
However, a president can have a major influence on foreign policy and in
determining
whether South Africa embraces partnership or hegemonic tendencies
towards the continent. For instance, former President Mbeki was involved in the
promulgation of the concept of the “African Renaissance” and the NEPAD programme.
During his presidential terms, former President Mbeki supported multilateral
solutions to regional conflicts and further deployed peacekeepers abroad. He
also played an extraordinary role in NAM, the AU and the UNSC. Moreover, the
research determined that other actors or specifically government departments
that contribute directly or indirectly to foreign policy (formulation and
implementation) include DIRCO through the minister in charge, South Africa’s
diplomats and ambassadors, the DOD and the DTI. The DOD, through the SANDF, has
been involved in conflict prevention, peace building, and peacekeeping in
African countries such as Burundi, the DRC, and others. This shows the
practical role and relevance of the DOD/SANDF on the issue of South Africa
being a partner or a hegemon. The research further indicated that Parliament
and civil society are other actors also indirectly involved in foreign
policymaking. The contribution of various foreign policy actors to foreign
policy decision-making differs greatly, depending on each actor’s relevance to
the process. The main aim of chapter four was to explore South Africa’s
multilateral relations on the African continent. The research on South Africa’s
multilateralism in Africa emphasised its role in multilateral organisations on the
continent. Notwithstanding the criticism that South Africa failed to influence
SADC’s Organ on Politics, and Defence and Security controlled by
Zimbabwe in the late 1990s, the country continues to play a leading
role in SADC. The study showed that South Africa has been one of key players in
the rejuvenation of the SADC. In fact, the country is also responsible for coordinating
the Finance and Investment sector in the SADC. It bases its regional role on
the principles of equality and symbiotic partnership; nonhegemonic tendencies;
and partnership as the means accomplishing its policy goals. The study
disclosed that expectations are generally high amongst African governments for
South Africa’s cooperation with its regional
counterparts as a partner and ally to ensure mutual and symbiotic
economic and political relations. The country led the Summit of the SADC Heads
of State and Government at which the need to establish the FTA was emphasised,
and several agreements were signed. The study showed that South Africa’s Board
on Tariffs and Trade recommends common tariff levels while the Departments of
Customs and Excise (fixed three instances), and Trade and Industry collect the
most duties and monitor SACU in that order. However, some maintain that South
Africa’s participation in SACU is characterised by inconsistencies and economic
supremacy. The country in the past has often been regarded as “imperialist” and
a “malevolent hegemonic power”, and is currently reported to be a
“benign” regional hegemon. Most recently at the 2010 summit, SACU members
registered their dissatisfaction about regional trade imbalances, marked by
biased trade tendencies and protectionism, which hamper regional industrialisation
endeavours. Furthermore, SACU members threatened that they would leave the
union if South Africa failed to address regional trade imbalances. For this
reason, research findings prove that South Africa cannot be regarded as a
“partner” in the union; rather it showed itself to be an economic hegemon – at
least in some instances.
At the AU level, the study revealed that the South African government
has since 1994 expressed its commitment to cooperate as “equals” with its
African counterparts and eschewed any hegemonic ambitions under the watchful eyes
of the AU. Since then, the country has sought to build partnerships and alliances
with other African states. South Africa is also expected to champion the cause
of the continent and of the South at large, in spite of the accusation of some
African states that South Africa may be guilty of alleged hegemonic tendencies.
Illustratively, in the early 2000s, the Mbeki Administration was predominant in
re-outlining the AU’s goals and objectives. Nevertheless, the
government was criticised for considering the interests of some states
while ignoring those of others’ in the AU. However, South Africa stated the
need to intensify the AU’s participation in conflict prevention, management,
and resolution, particularly on peace support operations in conflict-stricken
countries in Africa, emphasising the importance of human security and
social justice instead of military-defined state security. Research pertaining
to South Africa’s role in NEPAD demonstrated that the plan largely reflects
former President Mbeki’s development ideas, embodying the country’s leadership
role on this continental multilateral platform. South Africa’s commitment to
the development of NEPAD is guided by its belief in accountability, ownership,
and partnership. South Africa’s role in NEPAD has been significant since the
country has managed to coax many
African countries to join NEPAD. Based on the transformation of
African governments, the study showed that the Mbeki government played a
crucial role in the expansion of the APRM. For the purpose of peer review, the
South African government launched and conducted its annual Peer Review
Mechanism in 2005 under former President Mbeki. Investigations show that South
Africa under the Mbeki Administration played and continues to play a
significant role in developing and promoting the African Renaissance ideal. The
Mbeki government has always avoided
being conceived of as hegemon in its endeavours to disseminate the
“African agenda”, despite allegations by some international actors in this
regard. The research further showed that South Africa represented Africa and
the South on a non-permanent seat on the UNSC in 2006, which was informed by its
peace and security management experience particularly in Africa. It also
accepted the “rotating” chairmanship on the UNSC in 2008. In October
2010, the country won another non-permanent seat for the 2011 to 2012 period. South
Africa’s approach is counter-hegemonic but simultaneously, it does not intend
to be a mere “team-player” in international politics, particularly in
Africa. Many believe however, that it has automatically become a
“stateleadership” hegemon since it professes to represent Africa and the South
in the UNSC. Chapter five of the study was aimed at addressing South Africa’s
Africa foreign policy issues in the post-1994 period with reference to human
rights, peace and security, and trade relations. From the perspective of human
rights, the research also revealed that South Africa was proclaimed one of the
dominant actors in the promulgation
of international human rights law at the UN level. However, some argue
that South Africa is paradoxical, rhetorical, and ambiguous in its approach to human
rights. The gap between the principle and practice of human rights perhaps
stands out clearer than in any other areas, proving to be “uneven”. For
instance, South Africa often disapproved of international criticism of human
rights abusers such as the governments of Zimbabwe, Myanmar, and Iran. For this
reason, the study maintains that South Africa is not a hegemon with regard to
international human rights, neither in Africa, nor in the rest of the world. In
fact, South Africa has recently received more criticism than
applause in this field. In practice, the country is not a leading
hegemon, but merely a typical partner with an average sense of political
morality when it comes to the international promotion of respect for human
rights. Some observers even consider South Africa as a human rights actor
incapable of
taking moral responsibility to successfully address international
human rights issues in both Africa and further afield. Relating to peace and
security, the research indicated that the South African government has shown
its willingness to offer assistance for transforming Africa into a stable “zone
of peace” through democratisation. It has promised to participate in the AU-led
continental cooperation and development, peace, security, and stability
efforts, all in the name of the country’s national interests and the UN’s
political and operational objectives. The country has shown its willingness to
participate in the African peacekeeping missions as can be deduced from its
involvement over many
years in peace missions and negotiations in African countries such as Burundi,
Comoros, Côte d’Ivoire, the DRC, Eritrea(-Ethiopia), Lesotho, Somalia and
Sudan, through the SANDF and other actors. The SANDF’s involvement in
peacekeeping missions has certainly improved the country’s
reputation in Africa and in the international arena. Although some
contend that South Africa, based on its military power, is a potential regional
superpower that can tender “its engine to pull Africa out” of conflicts, some
argue that it has always been an African military hegemonic power. Its military
intervention in Lesotho in 1998 illustrated its aggressive and hegemonic
behaviour. Many interpreted South Africa’s rather aggressive intervention in
Lesotho as proof of its hegemonic (leadership) ambition. However, South
Africa’s participation in recent African peace efforts on the continent has not
reached the level where it can be coined as hegemonic. South Africa has
nevertheless emerged as one of the most prominent players in the continent’s
peace and security missions since it is well resourced, capacitated, and
experienced. However, one needs to indicate that although the South African
military is one of the most capable forces in the African context – which might
imply to some
observers that South Africa is a potential military hegemon – the
country is still short of the legitimacy and capacity to act as a
political-military hegemon on the continent. With regard to economic issues,
the research findings in the last section of chapter five showed that South
Africa’s trade relations with the region, as hinted earlier in the research
findings on the country’s role in SACU, are rather asymmetrical. It also showed
that trade benefits are uneven and skewed in favour of South Africa, resulting
in trade imbalances with the rest of the continent. Such imbalances stirred
criticism against South Africa, that it is a selfish hegemon intending to
pursue its national interests at the cost of weak and under-resourced African
states. The country is confronted by a stern challenge since it fails to
implement the stipulations in its economic and trade policies. This
demonstrates why its foreign policy documents prescribe partnership and
alliance with the region on the one hand, but reflects huge economic and trade
imbalances between South Africa and its neighbours on the other. In the end,
South Africa-Southern Africa economic partnership does not necessarily mean
equal economic power; that is, emerging middle economic powers can still forge
trade relations with low-income countries despite unequal levels of economic
development. Admittedly, there are often trade imbalances when middle-income
countries such as South Africa trade with less-developed countries in its
neighbourhood. In spite of such trade gaps, the South African government
continues to reject alleged hegemonic aspirations. Conclusions
With regard to the main research question, three subsidiary questions were
asked:
• How does South Africa define its foreign identity with particular reference
to its role on the African continent and further afield?
• What are the regional and continental expectations with regard to South
Africa’s role in Africa?
• Is South Africa willing to be a leader or an ordinary actor within the
multilateral (African) context?
The following conclusions can finally be articulated in the context of
the research question and subsidiary questions. How does South Africa
define its foreign identity with particular reference
to its role on the
African continent and further afield?
Although apartheid South Africa did not have much interest in Africa,
the foreign policy of the democratic, post-1994 South African government proved
to be Africa-oriented in nature. Furthermore, Nelson Mandela, even before being
inaugurated as President, often reiterated that South Africa’s postapartheid foreign
policy specifically with regard to Africa would be guided by the country’s
commitment to the promotion of the principle of respect for human rights. It
can be safely asserted that the country’s resolve to address human rights
issues was informed by its socio-political history. For this reason, South
Africa’s advocacy led to a situation where human rights issues
dominated its foreign policy agenda in Africa. This obsession with
human rights promotion further led to South Africa earning itself the title
“Beacon of Hope” due to its commitment, at least in principle, to African human
rights issues. South Africa sharply condemned the execution of Nigerian human
rights activists including Ken Saro Wiwa in 1995. Over the years, the
country has also deployed its troops, under the auspices of the SADC and the
AU, with the view to curb human rights abuses and ensure human security and stability
in African conflict-stricken countries. However, South Africa continues to be
denounced for its failure to condemn and effectively help address human rights
abuses in countries such as Zimbabwe and Swaziland. Many argue that South
Africa is gradually compromising its foreign principles by adopting the
so-called “quiet diplomacy” towards some African (and even non- African)
countries notorious for human rights violations. With Thabo Mbeki taking over
as President of the Republic, South Africa’s “Africanness” continued through
slogans such as “I am an African”. However, specifically, South Africa’s
foreign policy focus in Africa indirectly took a gradual shift to economic
issues losing sight of human rights support hence the ignorance of blatant
human rights abuses in 2008. Currently, South Africa’s foreign policy, based on
practical circumstances, is gradually becoming dominated by economic issues.
This point is manifested by the
Mbeki Administration’s leading role in economy-oriented institutions
such as NEPAD while keeping “quiet” when it comes to continental human rights issues.
However, most observers argue that South Africa does not have a clear foreign
identity in Africa; perhaps this is due to ambiguities, inconsistencies, and
paradoxes that characterise its foreign policy and eventually its role in Africa.
What are the regional
and continental expectations with regard to South Africa’s role in Africa?
The entire continent expects (more of) a leadership role from South
Africa. One of the reasons for such optimism is that South Africa is the most resourced,
capacitated, developed and well-governed country on the continent. Other than
that, at the dawn of democracy in South Africa, the government made a series of
promises with regard to its role on the continent. This might have sparked
African countries’ hopes pertaining to South Africa’s continental role. As soon
as the democratic dispensation was brought into effect, or even before then,
the South African post-apartheid government was
already making development promises to fellow African states. By way
of illustration, former President Mandela frequently emphasised, even in a foreign
policy-related academic article published in 1993, that democratic South Africa
would take up a leadership position but avoid hegemonic attitudes in Africa.
Additionally, the ANC’s Foreign Policy Discussion Document further accentuates that it would be unrealistic for South Africa to “think”
that it would enter a possibly prosperous future in isolation from its African
neighbours. The document maintains that South Africa intends to strengthen its
ties with Africa. This is because South Africa is intrinsically and inextricably
linked with the African continent, geographically and otherwise. Once again,
these represent some of the factors that raised poor African states’
expectations of South Africa. Although countries such as Nigeria seem to be
critical towards South Africa, some African countries, and even the West, still
vest the responsibility
of African development in South Africa as Africa’s leading economy.
Africa, particularly, expects South Africa to make a significant contribution
in many development areas. Currently, South Africa is expected to address human
rights violations in countries such as Zimbabwe and Swaziland via mediation or
any other related effective means, other than quiet diplomacy. The country is
also expected to make an economic contribution to African development through
trade (foreign direct investment) while simultaneously ensuring that trade
relations and benefits are even and symbiotic. Furthermore, it is important for
South Africa to contribute in a form of material resources, finance, deployment
of more troops to conflict-stricken and under-resourced countries, and others.
The country is also expected to be a more assertive leader in the development
of African multilateral political institutions such as the ADC, the AU, NEPAD,
and others.
Is South Africa
willing to be a leader or an ordinary actor within the multilateral (African)
context?
The Mbeki Administration, more than any other South African governments,
declared and often emphasised its favouritism for multilateralism over
unilateralism. In fact, the need for multilateralism has been one of the predominant
items in South Africa’s foreign agenda and approach towards its relations with
Africa since the late 1990s. The country contends that multilateral relations
are more effective than bilateralism and unilateralism when it comes to
regional development. South Africa’s
preference for multilateralism is well mirrored in the Foreign Policy
Discussion Document and DIRCO’s annual strategic plans. In these
documents, the South African government, again, continues to reflect its
keenness to be a leader and not just an ordinary player particularly in African
multilateral
institutions. The Mbeki government, by way of embodiment, played a
principal part in the establishment of NEPAD. South Africa’s role in the
founding and consolidation of NEPAD gave birth to claims that NEPAD is a
complete reflection of former President Mbeki’s vision and development plans,
and today NEPAD is largely considered a South African product. South Africa was
also one of the key actors in the transformation of the Organisation of African
Unity to the African Union. Additionally, South Africa holds the honour of
being the first country to chair the “new” AU in the early 2000s. South Africa
has also played a leadership role in the SADC, particularly in the reshaping
and
restructuring of the organisation, in coordinating the Finance and
Investment sector within this organisation, and in having chaired the Summit of
the SADC Heads of State and Government in 2008. In spite of “imperialist”
accusations that have been levelled at South Africa in SACU, the study reveals
that South Africa’s Board on Tariffs and Trade recommends common tariff levels
while
the Departments of Customs and Excise, and Trade and Industry collect
most duties and coordinate SACU respectively. Moreover, South Africa has shown its
leadership role as a representative of Africa and the South on the UNSC. In
fact, the country has recently won its second non-permanent seat for the 2011-2012
term on the council with an overwhelming majority of 182 out of 192 votes.
One can therefore conclude that South Africa is willing to be a leader
in Africa’s multilateral context and not a mere team player. Finally, based on
the above discussion, it is recommended that the South African government be
transparent and democratic (the public must be informed of any decisions made)
in its foreign policymaking processes. The second recommendation would be that,
the government ought to revise its policy priorities. It must be known whether
South Africa’s first priority is human rights or economic development;
recently, the country has prioritised human
rights issues on paper while it remains preoccupied with economic or
trade relations issues in practice in Africa. The third recommendation concerns
foreign policy identity. South Africa needs to redefine its foreign identity.
For example, it allies with both human rights advocates and abusers at the same
time. That makes it difficult to determine exactly who South Africa is in the international
sphere. The last recommendation would concern the partner/hegemon issue.
Currently, South Africa’s position is somewhere between a partner and a
hegemon. It needs to redefine its policy goals not only at the formulation
level but also at the implementation phase. It needs to determine whether it
wants to be either an exclusive partner or a hegemon, another aspect that
concerns foreign policy identity.
KEYAN FOREIGN POLICY
As one of the riparian
states, the use of the Nile water by neighbouring countries has direct
implications for Kenya’s national interest. The evolution of Kenya’s official
water policy, particularly on the Nile River question, has been slow and
ambiguous.
The Sessional Paper No. 10 of 1965 on African Socialism and its
Application to Kenya for example, only
directed the Government to prioritise its policies on poverty, illiteracy and
diseases, with a special focus on water and sanitation services. Even Kenya’s
Constitution as well as the recently concluded 2004 draft constitution do not
provide for water rights. Article 67 of the draft Constitution stipulates in
part (Kenya 2004a): Every person has the right: (a) to an environment that is
safe for life and health; (b) to
have the environment protected, for the
benefit of present and future generations, through legislative and other
measures that (i) prevent pollution and ecological degradation; and (ii)
promote conservation; and secure ecologically sustainable development and use
of natural resources while promoting economic and social development...
It was not until 1974 that the Government
established the Ministry of Water Development. The issues relating to water
policy were originally under the docket of the Ministry of Agriculture.
However, a number of policies and development programmes have been put in
place, particularly since the 1990s, in an attempt to synchronise and harmonise
the country’s national needs as well as to ensure a clear understanding of the
implications of the Nile water policies pursued by the neighbouring states. The
Nile River basin is shared by Burundi, the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC),
Egypt, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Rwanda, Sudan, Tanzania, and Uganda and
encompasses a total population of 160 million people. Of the ten riparian
states, only Egypt and Kenya are not among the least developed countries.
Operational Research Questions
(i) Are Kenya’s foreign policy interests
vis-à-vis the Nile River question influenced by her internal demand for water?
(ii) Is Kenya’s foreign policy behaviour
vis-à-vis the Nile River question influenced not only by her internal demand
for water but also the demand for water by the riparian states? Stability in
the region is in the interest of the riparian countries, including Kenya.As a
sovereign independent state, Kenya, like the other riparian states, has the
right to question the validity and relevance of treaties entered into by the
colonial countries that hold the potential of undermining the national interest
and creating instability in the region. The 1929 Nile River agreement entered
into between Britain (the colonial power at the time) and Egypt on behalf of
Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania, for example, remains a contentious issue for the
riparian states.
(iii) To what extent do these regional
geo-political interlocking questions influence Kenya’s foreign policy interests
on the use of Nile water? The 1929 Nile River treaty provides that Kenya,
Uganda, Tanzania and Sudan cannot use the waters of Lake Victoria and the Nile
without the acquiescence of Egypt.
Paragraph 27 of the treaty, for example,
stipulates in part that: Save with the previous agreement of the Egyptian
Government, no irrigation or power works or measures are to be constructed or
taken on the River Nile or its branches or on the lakes from which it flows, so
far as all these are in the Sudan or in countries under British administration,
which would, in such manner as to entail any prejudice to the interests of
Egypt, either reduce the quantity of water arriving in Egypt, or modify the
date of its arrival, or lower its level.
The other key elements incorporated in the
1929 treaty, which have direct implications for Kenya’s national interest,
include the following: (i) ‘The Nile Waters were to be shared between Egypt and
Sudan, with Egypt and Sudan claiming rights to 48bn. m. and 4bn m. per year
respectively.
(ii) The dry season flow, between the 15th
January and 15th of July, was entirely reserved for Egypt.
(iii) Egypt claimed the right to monitor the
flow of NileWater into and out of upstream riparian countries.
(iv) Egypt claimed the right to veto any
upstream engineering works that would affect the flow of the Nile.
(v) Egypt claimed the right to construct
engineering works on the Nile without the consent of other riparian states’
(Ng’wandu 2003).
This article examines Kenya’s foreign policy
interests on the Nile water question and the implications of the geopolitics of
the region as well as the riparian states’ policies for the country’s national
interest. The article is divided into four parts. Part One puts into
perspective the theoretical claims to rights over waters and international
drainage systems by sovereign states with a special focus on the Nile River
basin and the concomitant implications for Kenya’s national interest.Adrainage
basin is defined as: ‘the entire area, known as a watershed, that contributes
water both surface and underground, to the principal river, stream or lake or
other common terminus. While the Nile and its tributaries flow directly into
the Mediterranean Sea, Lake Victoria drains directly into the Nile, thus
contributing water to that one terminus. Therefore the Lake Victoria Basin and
the Nile basin contribute one drainage system’ (Okidi 1994: 9).
Part Two focuses on the domestic context of
Kenya’s foreign policy interests in the Nile River basin. Part Three examines
Kenya’s involvement in the multilateral initiatives in the Nile River basin by
the riparian states and the impact of these on the country’s foreign policy
interests. Part Four puts into context the impact of the Nile River basin
geopolitics on Kenya’s foreign policy interests.
The outcome of an
acceptable legal regime is contingent upon the willingness of the Nile basin
countries to set aside their national interests for the general good of the
region. Kenya’s proactive involvement in the NBI negotiations is a clear
indication of
the perception of foreign policy-makers
regarding the role the country needs to play vis-à-vis its national interests
on the Nile River question. These developments and other internal and external factors
are slowly influencing and transforming the geopolitical scenario in the Nile
basin region. First, the end of the Cold War has ushered in a new epoch in
global affairs, burying the so-called satellite states thesis inherent in the
East-West bipolar system, with the Ethiopia-Somalia proxy war of 1977-78
serving as a good example in the region at the time. Second, the transformation
of the Organisation of African Unity (OAU) into the African Union (AU), with a
mandate to promote continental multilateral diplomacy and to guard against war
crimes as well as the right to intervene in the internal affairs of member
states if situations so warrant (as enshrined in the Constitutive Act of
theAU), is laying the foundation for bilateral and multilateral ‘African
solutions to African problems’ based on legalistic and normative values. As I
have explained, the cases of
Burundi, the DRC, Rwanda, and Sudan serve as
good examples. Yet, the unresolved conflict in Darfur, which has claimed over
300,000 lives and displaced more than two million people remain contentious.
The decision by government of Sudan to allow the
deployment of an expanded UN-backed African
Mission in Sudan (AMIS) peacekeeping force in Darfur is a positive sign that
could lead to the tangible resolution of conflict between the belligerent
parties involving the Sudan Armed Forces (SAF) and
the (men on horses) and the Sudan Liberation
Movement/Sudan Liberation Army (SLM/A) and Justice and Equality Movement (JEM).
The perpetual instability in Somalia following the overthrow of Siad Barre in
1991 still poses major challenges
for the Nile basin riparian states. Third,
there is a shift towards what has been called a process of ‘dialogue accumulation’
by the riparian states that is ‘the result of numerous meetings between representatives
from different conflict parties over the years in various formal and informal
settings’ (Mason 2003: XVI). Countries such as Kenya and Ethiopia that originally
adopted ambivalent attitudes in the negotiations have, since the establishment
of the NBI, been fully involved in the process. Specifically, step-by-step
or project-by-project approaches and the
identification of an underlying acceptable legal framework have accommodated
the interests of the riparian states.
NIGERIA’S
FOREIGN
POLICY
The Nigerian nation is known as one,
whose foreign policy is essentially tailored to reflect her commitment to the
well-being of all African countries; particularly in the areas of peaceful
coexistence, prevention of violent conflicts - at intra-national and
international levels - restoration of peace where necessary; and maintenance of
peace all over the world.
For the purpose of this thesis, it is
necessary to attempt a search into the rationale behind Nigeria‟s decision to
make Africa the cornerstone of her foreign policy, since, according to J.A.
Price in his book Political Institutions in West Africa,1 “the foreign
policy of a State is liable to reflect the State’s personality, but foreign
policy cannot be developed in a completely arbitrary manner, since policy is
bound to be affected by many considerations concerned with the circumstances
and internal problems of the State.” In the beginning …
Since 1960 when Nigeria got her
political independence from the British colonial masters, notable about her
diplomatic attitude has been the making of the African continent her focus, especially
in the areas of enthronement of democracy and peace. This philosophy is derived
from the fact of an African adage, which says that when tears fall from the
eyes, the nose responds by sneezing. Literally speaking, apart from the
philosophy of the „brother‟s keeper‟ which Nigeria has created for herself, it
should also be noted that when any of her neighbouring countries, especially in
the West African sub-region, has crisis, the Nigerian economy and political
landscape are equally affected. Instances of this can be found in the era of
Ghana‟s economic down-turn in 1980‟s and within 10 years, the civil conflicts
in Liberia and Sierra Leone; which resulted in the influx of a large number of
refugees into Nigeria. These, therefore, induced Nigeria‟s foreign policy
formulators to see the need, not only to be steadfastly involved in policies
aimed at maintaining peace and tranquility on the African continent in general,
but in the West African sub-region in particular. It is reasonable to posit
that Nigeria‟s policy on Africa had reflated some measure of consistency and
attracted unprecedented domestic support, despite a few dissenting voices on
its foreign policy decisions concerning Africa. This fact is confirmed by the
nation‟s commitment to the decolonisation of Africa and the right of Africans
to self-determination, with abundant national resources put at the disposal of implementors
of policies of the government. Oyediran et al, (1966: pgs 150-168) stated, for
instance, that Nigeria deployed her diplomatic prowess through global support
such as direct bilateral financial and material aids to
the Liberation Movements across the
continent. Typical of this, was the role Nigeria played in the liberation of
Guinea Bissau, Mozambique, Rhodesia [now Zimbabwe], Sao Tome and Principe, Cape
Verde, Angola and South Africa.
Another classic example of this
„Afrocentric‟ policy of Nigeria by Oyediran was demonstrated in Nigeria‟s
recognition of the then Popular Movement for the Liberation of Angola (MPLA)
regime in 1976. This was against the advice of the United States government
among others. This was evident again in the acknowledgement of Nigeria as a
fore-runner State in the
interventions for the emancipation of
Namibia and the elimination of apartheid in South Africa. Nigeria was
undoubtedly a prevailing force on the then OAU, in the recognition of the Saharawi
Arab Democratic Republic sovereignty, thus signifying its loyalty to the right
of Africans to self-determination; the attendant dismay expressed by some
African governments and others notwithstanding. Reviewing the concept of
Nigeria‟s African policy in a study of its role in the African unification
movement by Okochi15, it was made clear that not all Nigerians supported the
policy, although it could be said that those in support have consistently been
in the majority and have always found their ways into governance and government
of the day. Okochi was quick to state that the leader of the third political
party in the first democratic era - Action Group – among those that formed the
independent elite in the First Republic, Chief Obafemi Awolowo, was not
optimistic about the concept, hence he wondered what basis could be the essence
of the African policy by Nigeria, if not to establish the “United States of
Africa – USA.” While addressing the sixth yearly congress of the party, Awolowo
opined that to labour for this kind of classical State would create distrust
among the adjoining States, especially when the cultural differences still
exist. He cited the instance of the location of Egypt in Africa with her heart in
the Arab world, which he argued would make both political union and
co-operation impossible. Significantly, Nigeria‟s relationships with other
African countries could be said to be ever consistent. This fact revolves
around co-operation at the bilateral level, beginning with the understanding of
what co-operation is, especially at this level of discussion, which involves
relations between two countries only; whether geographically aligned or
distanced from each other. For instance, Okochi (1990, p. 57) wrote that in
line with the directive of the first Prime Minister, the Nigerian government as
at January 1966; had instituted foreign missions in about 20 nations. These
included Algeria, Cameroon, Congo-Leopoldville, Benin Republic, Ethiopia,
Gambia, Ghana, Guinea, Ivory Coast, Kenya, Liberia, Libya, Morocco, Niger,
Senegal, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Chad, and Togo. Nigeria, with other near-by
countries, reached an agreement on the abolition of visa for their citizens to
use in travelling across the West African sub-region as a mark of good
neighbourliness and as part of „diplomatic relations.‟ By 1964, Nigeria had
this kind of agreement with six countries including Cameroon, Dahomey, Niger,
Chad, Togo and Morocco, while that of Guinea was formalised a year later, in
1965. It is relevant to note that the choice of Africa as the centre piece of
Nigerian foreign policies, in the long run, was not a misguided step; as the
decision was not intended to overrun smaller countries and assume a super-power
status on the continent. In line with the vision of Balewa‟s administration
from the First Republic of Nigeria till date, (up to President Umaru Musa
Yar‟Adua), it is very crucial for any government in power in the country to
keep the flag flying for the benefit of the African race as re-affirmed by the
recent past Nigerian Foreign Minister, Chief Ojo Maduekwe. So, be it military
or civilian government, as explained by former President Babangida, there is a
need to sustain the tempo to encourage the kind of unified economic system
currently seen and enjoyed in Europe as part of the European Union‟s (EU)
vision of integration, in order to build upon the progress made so far. Above
all, the unique saying that there is tremendous strength in unity should be
emphasised and followed continuously.
LIBYA FOREIGN POLICY
Foreign
policy in Libya is, in theory, a facet of the Jamahiriya
in which “the people are the instrument of
governing.”6 In
practice, however, the jamahiri system
itself owes its conception to the intellectual vision of the Libyan leader, as
it
developed
during the first three years after the Great September Revolution in 1969. It
was in April 1973 that the concept of Libya’s stateless state, driven by direct
popular democracy, emerged, distilled, as it were, from the broader principles
of Nasirist Arab nationalism in which the Revolution had been born. Thus those
sources that informed the construction and operation of the Libyan political
system also inform the intellectual project behind foreign policy. The Green
Book, which emerged in stages between 1973 and 1976, is usually held to be the basic
document defining the ideology that Colonel Qadhafi constructed in the 1970s to
reorganize the Libyan state but it does not explicitly discuss foreign policy,
either in terms of the principles that govern it or in terms of the objectives
it seeks. The same is largely true of the Libyan ntellectual seminar, held in
May 1970 and involving the Revolutionary Command Council and opinion-formers in
Libya.7 Its five
point agenda only touched on foreign affairs in its attention to Arab unity,
itself an integral extension of the Nasirist agenda the Libyan revolution had
espoused. We must therefore look elsewhere to appreciate what the principles behind
Libya’s actions and decisions in foreign affairs may be. There is, in fact,
very little domestic Libyan comment on the principles behind the country’s foreign
policy concerns, most Libyan commentators being predominantly concerned with
domestic
politics.8 Most Libyan
commentators have focused on domestic issues or on the ideologicalimplications
of the Libyan leader’s pronouncements and dicta9 on
policy issues generally and few of these relate specifically to the
basic
principles on which foreign policy has been constructed. Thus, together with
concepts put forward in the Green Book, they have looked to the ideas emerging
from the colonel’s vision of the “Third Universal Theory,” his alternative to
communism
and capitalism as a global ideology, for inspiration. Rejecting the monopoly of
both capital and labor as explicatory drivers, Colonel Qadhafi argued instead
that human society and the polities emerging from it were driven by
nationalism
and religion.10 His vision
of nationalism was cultural, not territorially-based and he viewed religion as
monotheism, of which Islam was the ultimate expression.
Insofar as Colonel Qadhafi has discussed such issues at
length since those early days, the best source for them has proved to be the
collections of his speeches over the years. These make it clear that the Leader
of the Revolution has several ongoing concerns that continue to inform his worldview
and that find their ideological antecedents in this conceptual bedrock. A
problem here is that his speeches are often internally
contradictory
but certain clear themes do, nevertheless, emerge. One of the key elements has been
his attitude toward the colonial experience in Libya and elsewhere. He sees
this as having been a hegemonic project, which is still active and
responsible
for the ills of the developing world today. Thus,
in Sebha in 2007, he blamed colonialism for the divisions that exist inside the
Muslim world, particularly that between sunnism and shi’ism.
The importance of the Fatimids, under whom
Sunni
and Shi’a lived in harmony together to Colonel Qadhafi was to be made clear in
a subsequent speech. Allied to this is a powerful sense of anti-imperialism,
most recently voiced in a meeting of the European Union and the African Union
in 2006 where he blamed European powers for the confusions of identity and language
that affect Africa.14 Yet, at the
same
time,
no doubt as a pragmatic reflection of the contemporary Libyan reality, he has
claimed that Europe is no longer a colonial power; it is intent, instead, on cooperation
with Libya and Africa. A
counterweight to Colonel Qadhafi’s anti-imperialism is an abiding belief in the
value of national unity around shared cultural paradigms. Originally, of
course, this was based on the linguistic principles behind Arab nationalism and
was a core component in defining the Libyan revolution as a statement about
shared Arab identity, as enunciated in Gamel Abdel Nasser’s Egypt in the 1960s.
The failure of the ideal of Arab Unity, interestingly enough, is today
attributed to the divisive effects of colonialism and Zionism, thus implicitly
identifying the Arab nationalism project as anti-imperialist and progressive.16
Its failure has meant, for the colonel, the betrayal of the
Palestinians, although, in the Libyan domestic context, he has often been
unsympathetic to
Palestinian
needs and concerns. Even though
Libya effectively abandoned its pursuit of the Arab unity ideal after 1997, the
principle of unity remains. Now it has been turned toward Africa and, although
the cultural principles behind Arab unity cannot apply, Colonel Qadhafi has
turned back to anti-imperialism and anti-colonialism to justify his call for
continental integration. According to Qadhafi, it is the shared colonial
experience that binds Africans together, an experience that
continues
as Europe and America continue to exploit the continent.18
Unity is thus a recognition of the implicit threat to
developmental objectives that postcolonial interference represents. No real development
can occur in Africa, the Libyan
leader
would argue, without the prerequisite of political unity. Even if the Libyan
leader does define the ideological agenda behind Libyan foreign policy in terms
that relate to anti-imperialism and regional unity, as his comments on Europe
suggest,
he is increasingly obliged to recognize practical realities.20
Since the end of the Lockerbie crisis in 1997,21
Libya has been able to rebuild its bridges with the West,
destroyed by the Qadhafi regime’s espousal of a radical and onfrontational agenda in the 1970s, an
approach that eventually culminated in American attacks on Tripoli and Benghazi
in April 1986. Libya’s response was not defiant; instead the regime began,
opportunistically and pragmatically, to try to rebuild its relations with
European states and the United States, a venture that the Lockerbie affair
delayed but did not effectively alter. This suggests that, alongside the
radical anti-imperialist ideology that Colonel Qadhafi’s Libya has espoused
since the beginning of the regime, there is also a profound opportunism and
pragmatism that informs the reality of Libya’s foreign policy. Thus, in 1970,
Libya had been responsible for ushering in the rise in oil prices that was to
eventually
see oil producers wrest control of the oil market from the international oil
companies and thus set the stage for the spate of nationalizations of oil
properties later on in the decade. Yet the colonel is well aware of the
essentially cooperative nature of the relationship between producer and
consumer, as he made clear during his visit to Paris in 2007.
Indeed,
the juxtaposition of ideology and pragmatic opportunism helps to clarify the
sometimes abrupt changes in policy direction that occur. Indeed, the three
concepts of ideology, pragmatism, and opportunism are not mutually exclusive
but can be mobilized in combination with, and in response to specific problems,
as has been made clear by Libya’s varying reactions over time to the United
States.23 Thus, when
Libya opened its borders in 1997 to the rest of Africa on an ideological
impulse, it created a massive migrant problem which, by September 2000, generated
extensive anti-migrant violence in Libya’s western coastal cities. Yet,
subsequently, it had no problem in collaborating with the European Union,
especially with Italy, in preventing migrant flows northwards into Europe.24
It was particularly anxious to collaborate after Italy had been
encouraged, by a sudden flux of migrants into Lampedusa in 2004, to persuade
the European
Council
to remove the arms embargo imposed on Libya years earlier, so that it could
reequip its naval and border forces
The
ideological dimension of Libyan foreign policy was incorporated into a foreign
policy model by Mary-Jane Deeb in her discussion of Libyan policy in North
Africa in the 1980s. She describes the Libyan foreign policy system as a pyramid,
with the neighboring states of North Africa and the Sahel at the peak, the Arab
world dominated by the Mashriq next, followed by the Islamic world overall,
then the developing world and, as a substratum at the base, the industrialized
countries of both East and West, as they then were. She adds that, the more
remote an issue has been from Libya’s core interests —
which
are security-led in nature and dominated by North Africa — the more
ideologically motivated policy will be. With respect to the role of Libyan
pragmatism in foreign policy, she points to Zartman and Kluge’s conclusions
given The Arab and African worlds demonstrate another aspect of Libyan policy
in action. Both are arenas for ideological experiment, the second being chosen
when the first failed to live up to Libya’s expectations. Yet both are also opportunities
for alliance-building through aid in order to enhance Libya’s regional
standing. This, in turn, demonstrates how opportunist pragmatism supplements
ideology in achieving desired policy outcomes. And both demonstrate the
inability of Libya’s intensely personalized policy institutions to achieve the
real outcomes that the country has sought, as other states exploit
or
reject it in terms of their own national interests.
Given
the nature of the Libyan revolution as a statement about the country’s place
within the Arab world and Colonel Qadhafi’s self-identification as an Arab
nationalist and the heir of the Egyptian leader, Gamel Abdel Nasser, after his death
in 1970, the Arab world has always played a central role within Libyan
perceptions of its foreign relations. This has led to Libya’s repeated attempts
at regional integration, with Egypt and Sudan in 1970, with Tunisia in 1974,
and with
Syria
in 1980. Nor have such attempts been limited to Middle Eastern States, as the
initiative to Tunisia demonstrated; there were also similar attempts with Chad
in 1980 and Morocco in 1984.
There
is no doubt that the driver for these initiatives was ideological and they were
not always met with great success. None of the initiatives materialized as
other regional states quickly understood and distrusted their implications and,
in
one case at least, the consequent hostility led to war. In July 1977, Egypt and
Libya fought a short border war until Algeria stepped in as the guarantor of
Libya’s territorial integrity, warning Egypt off from continuing its
aggression. In some
cases,
the initiatives were heavily tinged with pragmatic considerations, for in North
Africa at least — and even in the ahel —
they had more to do with influencing regional politics than with ideological presuppositions,
an issue that is discussed below. The upshot of all these initiatives was to profoundly
disillusion the Libyan leader and his close advisors about the reliability of
fellow Arab governments. Thus, although the ideal of Arab nationalism was
preserved as a popular and
populist
option, its utility as an instrument of high policy was progressively abandoned
over a period of 20 years. Colonel Qadhafi conversely became an ever more
explicit critic of the policies of Arab governments, particularly over the
issue
of
Palestine and the failure of the Arab League and of Arab states to challenge
the Israeli state. Ideological prejudices continued to inform this approach,
even as ideology was being abandoned in other foreign policy arenas. Thus, in
the wake of the 1993 Oslo Accords and the subsequent declaration of the
Palestinian National Authority in July 1994 as a protosovereign governing
entity, in May 1995 Libya expelled all its 13,000 Palestinian immigrants and refugees
along with a major drive to rid the country of unwanted refugees on the grounds
that they now had a state to which they could return. The Israeli authorities
did not agree and, for almost two years, the refugees existed in miserable
conditions on the border with Egypt before they were allowed to return to
Libya. By this time, too, Libya was smarting from what it perceived as a
betrayal by its Arab brothers in not supporting it against the sanctions
imposed by the United Nations in connection with the Lockerbie crisis and, in
1998, it suddenly announced that the ideal of Arab Unity had been replaced in
the official iconography by African Unity instead. Since that time, Libya has continued
to be part of the Arab League, although
in
recent years the Libyan leader has repeatedly threatened to leave the
organization and Arab nationalism has played an ever-decreasing role in Libya’s
foreign policy imperatives. The Libyan decision to prioritize African unity
instead
coincided with a decision by African leaders in September 1997 to ignore the
United Nations-imposed embargo on air travel to Libya,a development that
signaled the imminent collapse of the whole sanctions regime. It also forced
Western states to contemplate other approaches to the Libyan issue, a
development that was to culminate in the British approach to Libya to resolve
the difficulties over the Lockerbie affair. Yet this reversal to a dominant
African dimension to Libya’s foreign policy merely reflected a concern that in
the past had played a major role in foreign policy, even if bordinatedto the
imperative of Arab unity.
Indeed,
this was probably the reason why Africa had been a major concern of the Qadhafi
regime very early on, after it came to power in 1969.59
Its interest in part mirrored that of its predecessor, particularly
over the Aozou Strip in Northern
Chad,
which a Libyan military column briefly penetrated in 1955. But, initially,
revolutionary Libya’s interests in Africa were far wider, ranging from a
successful campaign to dissuade African states from maintaining relations with
Israel to
widespread
intervention in African economies and support for radical anti-Western states
and national liberation movements, such as the African National Congress.60
It also sought to use its oil wealth to achieve its policy
objectives and to extend its influence, particularly in West Africa.
In
the end, of course, Libyan policy in Africa became rather messily unstuck and
its early successes were reversed. Although by 1973, 20 African states had
severed relations with Israel, a decade later diplomatic relations were being
steadily restored. Libyan largesse and commercial interest had also been
revealed to often have negative connotations for domestic stability and a range
of specific interventions had either failed previously.
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